Apr. 16th, 2004

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Computer crisis resolution... )
...and the stress )
michiexile: (Default)
Just sitting around correcting a maths competition for mathematics teachers; when I run across a guy who seriously does this funky trick:

Question: Given that a sequence of cointosses has produce a Head - what's the probability that the next toss is a Head as well?
Answer: The probability for a 1 long streak of heads after this first is 25% (HT)
The probability for a 2-streak is 12.5% (HHT)
The probability for a 3-streak is 6.75% (HHHT)

Summing up this is the sum from 1 to oo of 1/2^n. This sum converges to 1/2. Thus P(H)=0.5

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